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Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HULIGANIloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 11 games
45%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Solo · 9 games
44%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Antares · 8 games
38%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 8 games
63%
Undying
Undying
Solo · 8 games
38%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
kiyotaka · 7 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Alberkaaa · 7 games
29%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Solo · 7 games
14%

HULIGANI

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 7 games
57%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
RAMZES666 · 7 games
43%
Lion
Lion
Immersion · 6 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 5 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 5 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 5 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kasane · 4 games
100%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
382 picks · 355 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
347 picks · 538 bans
57%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
343 picks · 339 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
328 picks · 504 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
317 picks · 252 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
306 picks · 597 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
301 picks · 182 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
290 picks · 271 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:10
9Pandas 58%HULIGANI 42%
The model gave 58% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 49:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenDarkLord^
50% · 134 games43% · 87 games
Linare1bl
Lina
Kunkka
Kunkkakiyotaka
51% · 120 games58% · 169 games
WindrangerRAMZES666
Windranger
Timbersaw
TimbersawAlberkaaa
54% · 204 games48% · 101 game
BrewmasterBb3px
Brewmaster
Undying
UndyingSolo
41% · 174 games53% · 298 games
TechiesOneJey
Techies
Lion
LionAntares
50% · 178 games52% · 155 games
Crystal MaidenPanto
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed18:34
9Pandas 59%HULIGANI 41%
The model gave 59% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 38:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterDarkLord^
56% · 115 games58% · 185 games
MedusaRAMZES666
Medusa
Doom
DoomAlberkaaa
55% · 282 games49% · 319 games
Pangolierre1bl
Pangolier
Earthshaker
Earthshakerkiyotaka
51% · 83 games42% · 85 games
HoodwinkOneJey
Hoodwink
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAntares
50% · 180 games42% · 172 games
Dragon KnightBb3px
Dragon Knight
Undying
UndyingSolo
45% · 230 games52% · 129 games
EnigmaPanto
Enigma
Game 3prediction correct32:13
9Pandas 58%HULIGANI 42%
The model gave 58% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 35:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterDarkLord^
51% · 74 games53% · 72 games
JuggernautRAMZES666
Juggernaut
Pangolier
Pangolierkiyotaka
51% · 252 games49% · 154 games
Dragon KnightBb3px
Dragon Knight
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
48% · 188 games49% · 165 games
Kunkkare1bl
Kunkka
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAntares
54% · 160 games43% · 143 games
HoodwinkOneJey
Hoodwink
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSolo
52% · 167 games50% · 307 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 64%
Series result9Pandas 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3