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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 1:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Level UPloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Mars
Marsoften banned
Alberkaaa · 13 games
46%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 12 games
42%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
DarkLord^ · 10 games
30%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 10 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 9 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 9 games
78%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 8 games
38%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
DarkLord^ · 8 games
75%

Level UP

Tiny
Tinysignature
dEsire · 10 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
dEsire · 10 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
swedenstrong · 8 games
38%
Luna
Lunasignature
Focus · 8 games
63%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
dEsire · 7 games
43%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Stojkov · 7 games
43%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Stojkov · 7 games
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Delight · 7 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
379 picks · 612 bans
57%
Lion
Lion
379 picks · 350 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
370 picks · 570 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
367 picks · 292 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
350 picks · 726 bans
57%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
348 picks · 340 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
335 picks · 350 bans
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
329 picks · 197 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:38
9Pandas 67%Level UP 33%
The model gave 67% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 1:12:50.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 67%
Series result9Pandas 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1