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BetBoom Dacha · BO1
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 1:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 39 games
62%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 36 games
56%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 35 games
54%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 30 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 28 games
82%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
78%

Nigma Galaxy

Disruptor
Disruptor
GH · 22 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
KuroKy · 17 games
71%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 15 games
47%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Yuma · 10 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
GH · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 10 games
40%
Chen
Chensignature
KuroKy · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
397 picks · 192 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
313 picks · 454 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
271 picks · 456 bans
46%
Techies
Techies
269 picks · 228 bans
49%
Morphling
Morphling
254 picks · 474 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
252 picks · 419 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
244 picks · 419 bans
51%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
229 picks · 555 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
9Pandas 85%Nigma Galaxy 15%
The model gave 85% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 85%
Series result9Pandas 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1