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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 25 games
64%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 22 games
68%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 21 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
67%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
60%

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 32 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Chuvash · 18 games
56%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 18 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Taiga · 17 games
65%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 16 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Taiga · 15 games
53%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bzm · 15 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
DM · 14 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
756 picks · 630 bans
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
612 picks · 536 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
539 picks · 1068 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
537 picks · 1333 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
463 picks · 961 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
462 picks · 1175 bans
49%
Techies
Techies
461 picks · 493 bans
56%
Enchantress
Enchantress
442 picks · 637 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 41%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:11
9Pandas 49%OG 51%
The model gave 51% on OG — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 30:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerRAMZES666
44% · 93 games46% · 130 games
BloodseekerYuragi
Bloodseeker
Doom
DoomMieRo
52% · 225 games58% · 149 games
Storm Spiritbzm
Storm Spirit
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernkiyotaka
41% · 89 games44% · 98 games
Spirit BreakerDM
Spirit Breaker
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonAntares
57% · 68 games53% · 301 game
SnapfireTaiga
Snapfire
Undying
UndyingSolo
51% · 277 games53% · 74 games
IoCeb
Io
Game 2prediction missed45:23
9Pandas 49%OG 51%
The model gave 51% on OG — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 40:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawkiyotaka
52% · 183 games63% · 4 games
Arc Wardenbzm
Arc Warden
Morphling
MorphlingRAMZES666
50% · 160 games57% · 138 games
Faceless VoidYuragi
Faceless Void
Axe
AxeMieRo
57% · 30 games57% · 243 games
BeastmasterDM
Beastmaster
Batrider
BatriderAntares
50% · 210 games44% · 90 games
WindrangerCeb
Windranger
Pugna
PugnaSolo
45% · 97 games41% · 205 games
EnchantressTaiga
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 53%
Series result9Pandas 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2