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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 48 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 34 games
62%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 32 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
74%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 29 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 27 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 24 games
50%

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 34 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 19 games
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Chuvash · 17 games
53%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Taiga · 17 games
65%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Taiga · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
DM · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Chuvash · 15 games
53%
Venomancer
Venomancersignature
DM · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
640 picks · 691 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
486 picks · 322 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
455 picks · 991 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
399 picks · 854 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
393 picks · 937 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 353 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
381 picks · 1006 bans
57%
Pugna
Pugna
379 picks · 449 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:25
9Pandas 54%OG 46%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by OG in 24:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautRAMZES666
37% · 62 games55% · 156 games
Templar AssassinYuragi
Templar Assassin
Leshrac
Leshrackiyotaka
57% · 163 games42% · 170 games
Void Spiritbzm
Void Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
47% · 312 games55% · 151 game
Dark SeerDM
Dark Seer
Rubick
RubickAntares
45% · 490 games54% · 257 games
EnigmaCeb
Enigma
Oracle
OracleSolo
55% · 64 games53% · 357 games
ClockwerkTaiga
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct26:33
9Pandas 54%OG 46%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 37:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautRAMZES666
33% · 45 games60% · 142 games
Templar Assassinbzm
Templar Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
50% · 239 games49% · 20 games
SpectreYuragi
Spectre
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
47% · 139 games63% · 113 games
Dark SeerDM
Dark Seer
Oracle
OracleSolo
51% · 63 games52% · 277 games
DoomCeb
Doom
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
38% · 122 games45% · 56 games
Dark WillowTaiga
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2