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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 48 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 43 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 37 games
62%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 36 games
72%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 33 games
73%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 32 games
66%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 30 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
48%

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 35 games
51%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
DM · 18 games
39%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 18 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Taiga · 18 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Chuvash · 17 games
53%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Taiga · 17 games
65%
Venomancer
Venomancersignature
DM · 17 games
71%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Taiga · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
640 picks · 690 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 329 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
451 picks · 977 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
408 picks · 931 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 857 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
392 picks · 353 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
384 picks · 1002 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
381 picks · 448 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 35%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:18
9Pandas 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 49:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistRAMZES666
47% · 103 games56% · 118 games
Naga SirenYuragi
Naga Siren
Doom
DoomMieRo
51% · 210 games55% · 174 games
Puckbzm
Puck
Windranger
Windrangerkiyotaka
41% · 86 games48% · 184 games
Spirit BreakerDM
Spirit Breaker
Batrider
BatriderAntares
47% · 233 games53% · 195 games
Keeper of the LightCeb
Keeper of the Light
Oracle
OracleSolo
53% · 62 games51% · 23 games
Elder TitanTaiga
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed29:29
9Pandas 54%OG 46%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by OG in 39:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomRAMZES666
47% · 91 game58% · 50 games
Razorbzm
Razor
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
49% · 104 games50% · 12 games
MeepoYuragi
Meepo
Windranger
Windrangerkiyotaka
37% · 33 games51% · 123 games
VisageDM
Visage
Enchantress
EnchantressAntares
55% · 66 games47% · 41 game
Elder TitanTaiga
Elder Titan
Oracle
OracleSolo
43% · 16 games53% · 84 games
IoCeb
Io
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2