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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:0
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 10 games
20%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 9 games
78%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 9 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 8 games
38%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
laise · 8 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
DarkLord^ · 7 games
86%
Muerta
Muerta
jesv · 7 games
43%

One Move

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 23 games
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Difference · 22 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
WoE · 21 game
52%
Marci
Marcisignature
not me · 20 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
SSS · 18 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Difference · 17 games
59%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
SSS · 15 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
WoE · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 615 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
459 picks · 532 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
389 picks · 574 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
380 picks · 189 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
365 picks · 404 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
359 picks · 265 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
336 picks · 923 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 696 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:12
9Pandas 37%One Move 63%
The model gave 63% on One Move — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 32:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeDarkLord^
43% · 94 games55% · 60 games
BloodseekerWoE
Bloodseeker
Bristleback
Bristlebacklaise
56% · 113 games48% · 141 game
Earth SpiritWorick
Earth Spirit
Pangolier
Pangoliererase
52% · 356 games48% · 39 games
Night StalkerSSS
Night Stalker
Lich
LichSolo
54% · 54 games50% · 336 games
ClockwerkJANTER
Clockwerk
Dark Willow
Dark Willowjesv
50% · 250 games47% · 291 game
GyrocopterRein
Gyrocopter
Game 2prediction missed30:5
9Pandas 42%One Move 58%
The model gave 58% on One Move — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 30:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterDarkLord^
49% · 300 games57% · 51 game
ClinkzWoE
Clinkz
Beastmaster
Beastmasterlaise
49% · 263 games38% · 186 games
TerrorbladeSSS
Terrorblade
Tiny
Tinyerase
57% · 360 games48% · 451 game
PangolierWorick
Pangolier
Pugna
Pugnajesv
58% · 173 games47% · 209 games
MuertaRein
Muerta
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSolo
56% · 124 games48% · 323 games
PhoenixJANTER
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 70%
Series result9Pandas 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2