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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 25 games
64%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 23 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 21 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 21 game
67%

Shopify Rebellion

Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 28 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
74%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
SabeRLight- · 23 games
61%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 21 game
76%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Abed · 18 games
72%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 18 games
61%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 15 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
757 picks · 626 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
614 picks · 535 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
546 picks · 1335 bans
58%
Doom
Doom
545 picks · 1072 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
466 picks · 968 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
466 picks · 506 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1171 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
448 picks · 641 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:16
9Pandas 47%Shopify Rebellion 53%
The model gave 53% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 34:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerRAMZES666
46% · 157 games50% · 300 games
SnapfireMiracle-
Snapfire
Tinker
Tinkerkiyotaka
50% · 10 games51% · 60 games
AbaddonArteezy
Abaddon
Batrider
BatriderAntares
45% · 298 games53% · 288 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
43% · 168 games62% · 101 game
VenomancerFly
Venomancer
Undying
UndyingSolo
47% · 330 games56% · 214 games
TechiesCr1t-
Techies
Game 2prediction correct25:45
9Pandas 45%Shopify Rebellion 55%
The model gave 55% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 41:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawkiyotaka
48% · 163 games52% · 122 games
BloodseekerArteezy
Bloodseeker
Windranger
WindrangerRAMZES666
42% · 131 game57% · 158 games
Void SpiritMiracle-
Void Spirit
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiMieRo
50% · 25 games55% · 87 games
LycanSabeRLight-
Lycan
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
40% · 133 games57% · 218 games
MiranaCr1t-
Mirana
Undying
UndyingSolo
45% · 209 games58% · 76 games
PugnaFly
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2