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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 39 games
59%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 35 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 34 games
56%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 30 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 27 games
56%

Shopify Rebellion

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 23 games
65%
Doom
Doomsignature
SabeRLight- · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Abed · 22 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 22 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
Cr1t- · 21 game
48%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Fly · 20 games
70%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Abed · 17 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
373 picks · 181 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
286 picks · 408 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
240 picks · 416 bans
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
231 picks · 374 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
229 picks · 357 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
223 picks · 440 bans
52%
Techies
Techies
221 picks · 177 bans
50%
Morphling
Morphling
220 picks · 411 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 20%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:46
9Pandas 55%Shopify Rebellion 45%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 48:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerRAMZES666
50% · 155 games50% · 89 games
SvenArteezy
Sven
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
46% · 78 games51% · 328 games
PangolierAbed
Pangolier
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
54% · 275 games43% · 3 games
OmniknightSabeRLight-
Omniknight
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSolo
55% · 182 games48% · 225 games
EnchantressFly
Enchantress
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernAntares
44% · 23 games47% · 68 games
Vengeful SpiritCr1t-
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction missed13:33
9Pandas 55%Shopify Rebellion 45%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 31:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeRAMZES666
53% · 107 games38% · 20 games
MuertaArteezy
Muerta
Dazzle
Dazzlekiyotaka
32% · 13 games52% · 88 games
LinaAbed
Lina
Axe
AxeMieRo
59% · 9 games51% · 41 game
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
Dawnbreaker
Undying
UndyingSolo
48% · 179 games53% · 179 games
TuskCr1t-
Tusk
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritAntares
49% · 45 games51% · 25 games
GrimstrokeFly
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 62%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2