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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Talon Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 49 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 39 games
49%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 26 games
62%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 26 games
65%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 25 games
72%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 21 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
67%

Talon Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Q · 29 games
59%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Q · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Q · 25 games
68%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 24 games
75%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Oli · 22 games
64%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Mikoto · 19 games
68%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 18 games
72%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 18 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
739 picks · 560 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
606 picks · 524 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
559 picks · 1271 bans
57%
Doom
Doom
557 picks · 1093 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
509 picks · 573 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
474 picks · 949 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
464 picks · 1105 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
460 picks · 649 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:31
9Pandas 58%Talon Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 49:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingRAMZES666
52% · 195 games49% · 105 games
Phantom Lancer23savage
Phantom Lancer
Pangolier
Pangolierkiyotaka
57% · 319 games41% · 163 games
WindrangerMikoto
Windranger
Doom
DoomMieRo
48% · 219 games47% · 193 games
MarsJabz
Mars
Enchantress
EnchantressAntares
52% · 243 games49% · 134 games
Shadow DemonQ
Shadow Demon
Batrider
BatriderSolo
55% · 274 games50% · 655 games
RubickOli
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed11:36
9Pandas 55%Talon Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 47:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
44% · 388 games56% · 201 game
Slark23savage
Slark
Morphling
MorphlingRAMZES666
49% · 226 games53% · 251 game
Storm SpiritMikoto
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
52% · 388 games54% · 151 game
TidehunterJabz
Tidehunter
Techies
TechiesAntares
50% · 259 games49% · 118 games
Shadow DemonQ
Shadow Demon
Lich
LichSolo
48% · 104 games45% · 644 games
RubickOli
Rubick
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 60%
Series resultTalon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2