?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Berlin Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Asterloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiessignature
Antares · 35 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 34 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 20 games
55%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 16 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Antares · 16 games
63%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 16 games
69%

Team Aster

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
BoBoKa · 21 game
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Xxs · 17 games
65%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fantasy · 17 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Xwy · 15 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xwy · 15 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Xxs · 14 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1001 picks · 704 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
633 picks · 465 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
572 picks · 923 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
566 picks · 418 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
528 picks · 406 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
526 picks · 369 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
515 picks · 1215 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
499 picks · 384 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 35%
Hero pool strength51% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:46
9Pandas 53%Team Aster 47%
The model gave 53% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Team Aster in 30:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordRAMZES666
48% · 70 games55% · 65 games
Queen of PainSumaiL
Queen of Pain
Doom
DoomMieRo
42% · 199 games56% · 214 games
Monkey KingMonet
Monkey King
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
53% · 260 games45% · 58 games
Legion CommanderXxs
Legion Commander
Techies
TechiesAntares
43% · 66 games61% · 83 games
ChenBoBoKa
Chen
Phoenix
PhoenixRodjER
40% · 154 games55% · 329 games
SnapfireFantasy
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct41:26
9Pandas 56%Team Aster 44%
The model gave 56% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 47:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistRAMZES666
53% · 87 games50% · 106 games
Naga SirenMonet
Naga Siren
Tiny
Tinykiyotaka
47% · 506 games52% · 187 games
Storm SpiritSumaiL
Storm Spirit
Doom
DoomMieRo
56% · 194 games43% · 104 games
UnderlordXxs
Underlord
Pugna
PugnaRodjER
55% · 88 games44% · 179 games
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
Keeper of the Light
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
53% · 109 games48% · 408 games
ClockwerkFantasy
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2