?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
61%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 27 games
59%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
70%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 25 games
72%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 23 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
52%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
62%

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 17 games
65%
Lycan
Lycansignature
zai · 14 games
79%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
iNSaNiA · 14 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
Nisha · 13 games
54%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
iNSaNiA · 13 games
54%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 12 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
zai · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 385 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
227 picks · 111 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
219 picks · 316 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
215 picks · 458 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
211 picks · 296 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
191 picks · 488 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
190 picks · 147 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
186 picks · 392 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total76% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:36
9Pandas 36%Team Liquid 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRAMZES666
50% · 64 games48% · 48 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Zeus
Zeuskiyotaka
41% · 22 games59% · 37 games
SpectremiCKe
Spectre
Muerta
MuertaV-Tune
45% · 87 games57% · 13 games
SlardarSabeRLight-
Slardar
Bane
BaneAfoninje
48% · 23 games47% · 25 games
GyrocopteriNSaNiA
Gyrocopter
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiSolo
66% · 7 games54% · 80 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct8:42
9Pandas 38%Team Liquid 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 27:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaV-Tune
47% · 41 game52% · 80 games
SpectremiCKe
Spectre
Magnus
MagnusRAMZES666
47% · 67 games48% · 102 games
KunkkaNisha
Kunkka
Dazzle
Dazzlekiyotaka
63% · 14 games55% · 102 games
EnigmaSabeRLight-
Enigma
Tusk
TuskAfoninje
47% · 127 games50% · 48 games
JakiroiNSaNiA
Jakiro
Undying
UndyingSolo
52% · 120 games50% · 37 games
Bounty HunterBoxi
Bounty Hunter
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 76%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2