DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9z Teamloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
55BUGPIGPOLEwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9z Team
No games played over 6 months.
5BUGPIGPOLE
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
544 picks · 766 bans
Muerta
442 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
435 picks · 709 bans
Clockwerk
413 picks · 405 bans
Phantom Assassin
402 picks · 707 bans
Bristleback
394 picks · 894 bans
Magnus
390 picks · 1049 bans
Pangolier
378 picks · 520 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 9z Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% 5BUGPIGPOLE
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
9z Team 41%5BUGPIGPOLE 59%
The model gave 59% on 5BUGPIGPOLE — the game was taken by 5BUGPIGPOLE.
Game 2prediction correct
9z Team 41%5BUGPIGPOLE 59%
The model gave 59% on 5BUGPIGPOLE — the game was taken by 5BUGPIGPOLE.
Model check result
Model favorite5BUGPIGPOLE · 59%
Series result5BUGPIGPOLE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2