ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
9z Teamwin 1:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
UEUnder Effectloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9z Team
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Hoodwink
N1NE · 1 game
Spirit Breaker
N1NE · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
Viperoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
Under Effect
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
545 picks · 745 bans
Tusk
487 picks · 351 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 638 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 543 bans
Shadow Demon
372 picks · 643 bans
Gyrocopter
359 picks · 552 bans
Mars
348 picks · 465 bans
Hoodwink
347 picks · 157 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Under Effect
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Under Effect
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
9z Team 50%Under Effect 50%
The model gave 50% on Under Effect — the game was taken by 9z Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteUnder Effect · 50%
Series result9z Team 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1