?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Aim Possibleloss 1:2
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Runa Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aim Possible

Warlock
Warlock
Aidar · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aidar · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
0%

Runa Team

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 22 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 15 games
73%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
46%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Hduo · 12 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
nicky`cool · 9 games
78%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 9 games
67%
Silencer
Silencer
Hduo · 9 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Alberkaaa · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
459 picks · 533 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
342 picks · 627 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 435 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 637 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 210 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
276 picks · 79 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 54%
Hero pool strength58% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Runa Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:15
Aim Possible 26%Runa Team 74%
The model gave 74% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 39:35.
Game 2prediction correct28:32
Aim Possible 26%Runa Team 74%
The model gave 74% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 43:51.
Game 3prediction correct14:40
Aim Possible 26%Runa Team 74%
The model gave 74% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 49:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteRuna Team · 74%
Series resultRuna Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3