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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance.LATAMloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Alliance.LATAM

No games played over 6 months.

Infinity Esports

Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 7 games
86%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 6 games
83%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 5 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Hyko · 5 games
80%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
Jupiter · 4 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
346 picks · 337 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
332 picks · 328 bans
58%
Mirana
Mirana
227 picks · 237 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
219 picks · 145 bans
54%
Leshrac
Leshrac
200 picks · 416 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
200 picks · 536 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
198 picks · 162 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
187 picks · 110 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:31
Alliance.LATAM 37%Infinity Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 35:23.
Game 2prediction correct24:16
Alliance.LATAM 37%Infinity Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 43:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 63%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2