Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 2 games
Riki
Shigetsu · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Disruptor
Fezor · 1 game
Grimstroke
Fezor · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 375 bans
Queen of Pain
480 picks · 574 bans
Mars
448 picks · 614 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 804 bans
Snapfire
366 picks · 172 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 548 bans
Wraith King
284 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 64%
Hero pool strength57% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Alliance
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 59%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictionmissed