BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 0:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
506 picks · 337 bans
Tusk
484 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 414 bans
Treant Protector
351 picks · 403 bans
Mirana
346 picks · 338 bans
Snapfire
301 picks · 157 bans
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 683 bans
Clockwerk
262 picks · 168 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total76% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:32
Alliance 24%Entity 76%
The model gave 76% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 31:06.
Game 2prediction correct13:53
Alliance 24%Entity 76%
The model gave 76% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 39:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 76%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2