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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Alliance

No games played over 6 months.

Gaimin Gladiators

Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 23 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 22 games
59%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 20 games
65%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 19 games
63%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
69%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
tOfu · 16 games
56%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
507 picks · 442 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
460 picks · 682 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
428 picks · 539 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
410 picks · 288 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
359 picks · 594 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 567 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 625 bans
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
334 picks · 650 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:33
Alliance 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:46.
Game 2prediction correct21:30
Alliance 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 37:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 55%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2