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PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 1:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Alliance

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 23 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Nande · 20 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
dEsire · 20 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 20 games
60%
Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 20 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 16 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mo13ei · 15 games
53%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 13 games
54%

Infinity Esports

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Kiri · 8 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Panda · 7 games
57%
Techies
Techies
Hyko · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 6 games
67%
Marci
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
33%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
kendallx · 5 games
40%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Gardick · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
348 picks · 296 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
334 picks · 436 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
330 picks · 253 bans
45%
Enchantress
Enchantress
318 picks · 538 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
299 picks · 285 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
295 picks · 414 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
294 picks · 472 bans
45%
Sand King
Sand King
294 picks · 796 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:10
Alliance 44%Infinity Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Alliance in 45:48.
Game 2prediction correct15:29
Alliance 44%Infinity Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 35:03.
Game 3prediction correct19:34
Alliance 44%Infinity Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 52:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 56%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3