ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Asterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Team Aster
Gyrocoptersignature
LaNm · 11 games
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 10 games
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 9 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 8 games
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 8 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Monet · 7 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Monet · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
418 picks · 964 bans
Void Spirit
389 picks · 586 bans
Mars
344 picks · 624 bans
Earth Spirit
305 picks · 270 bans
Death Prophet
300 picks · 608 bans
Rubick
258 picks · 174 bans
Wraith King
248 picks · 414 bans
Phoenix
247 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 71%
Hero pool strength61% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:39
Alliance 46%Team Aster 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 48:10.
Game 2prediction correct20:33
Alliance 46%Team Aster 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 37:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 54%
Series resultTeam Aster 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2