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DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
AllStarsloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chimpanzini Bananiniwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AllStars

Warlock
Warlocksignature
Accel · 6 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
blessed kid · 5 games
40%
Omniknight
Omniknight
blessed kid · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Benjimon · 5 games
20%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
bsK7- · 4 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Accel · 4 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
blessed kid · 3 games
67%

Chimpanzini Bananini

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
291 picks · 689 bans
51%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
289 picks · 184 bans
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 650 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
256 picks · 251 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
252 picks · 107 bans
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
252 picks · 217 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
247 picks · 541 bans
58%
Marci
Marci
245 picks · 587 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Chimpanzini Bananini
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% AllStars
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:20
AllStars 64%Chimpanzini Bananini 36%
The model gave 64% on AllStars — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini in 43:22.
Game 2prediction missed31:16
AllStars 64%Chimpanzini Bananini 36%
The model gave 64% on AllStars — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini in 40:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteAllStars · 64%
Series resultChimpanzini Bananini 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2