The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
AllStarsloss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AllStars
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Accel · 2 games
Jakiro
Accel · 2 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Sven
bsK7- · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
Team Sin Compromiso
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 533 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 216 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 632 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 437 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 640 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 212 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 79 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% AllStars
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:47
AllStars 17%Team Sin Compromiso 83%
The model gave 83% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 26:42.
Game 2prediction correct51:20
AllStars 17%Team Sin Compromiso 83%
The model gave 83% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 30:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 83%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2