The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
AllStarswin 2:0series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Last Danceloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AllStars
Abaddonoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Accel · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
Jakiro
Accel · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Sacred · 2 games
Sven
bsK7- · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
The Last Dance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 531 bans
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 624 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 432 bans
Ancient Apparition
292 picks · 635 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 208 bans
Windranger
276 picks · 78 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% The Last Dance
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% The Last Dance
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:19
AllStars 32%The Last Dance 68%
The model gave 68% on The Last Dance — the game was taken by AllStars in 33:13.
Game 2prediction missed17:34
AllStars 32%The Last Dance 68%
The model gave 68% on The Last Dance — the game was taken by AllStars in 37:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Dance · 68%
Series resultAllStars 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2