Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
Anime Enjoyerswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HFloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Anime Enjoyers
Morphlingoften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Clockwerk
sunset · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Earth Spirit
sunset · 1 game
Earthshaker
sunset · 1 game
Marcioften banned
sunset · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
HF
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 13 games
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
732 picks · 550 bans
Puck
518 picks · 1034 bans
Dawnbreaker
451 picks · 579 bans
Marci
428 picks · 769 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 195 bans
Winter Wyvern
359 picks · 387 bans
Zeus
320 picks · 365 bans
Razor
315 picks · 621 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:20
Anime Enjoyers 47%HF 53%
The model gave 53% on HF — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 38:31.
Game 2prediction missed33:8
Anime Enjoyers 47%HF 53%
The model gave 53% on HF — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 27:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 53%
Series resultAnime Enjoyers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2