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PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Apex Genesisloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Apex Genesis

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 13 games
54%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Fayde · 10 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
YamSun · 9 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
YamSun · 9 games
44%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sammyboy · 7 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
W1sh- · 7 games
43%

Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
340 picks · 254 bans
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
339 picks · 283 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
329 picks · 434 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
309 picks · 518 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
305 picks · 296 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 432 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
300 picks · 478 bans
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
299 picks · 346 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Apex Genesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:17
Apex Genesis 36%Invictus Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 45:48.
Game 2prediction correct17:28
Apex Genesis 36%Invictus Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 38:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 64%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2