The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
ApexPHloss 0:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TSTeam Slayerswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ApexPH
No games played over 6 months.
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 453 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 539 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 638 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 448 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ApexPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% ApexPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
ApexPH 53%Team Slayers 47%
The model gave 53% on ApexPH — the game was taken by Team Slayers.
Model check result
Model favoriteApexPH · 53%
Series resultTeam Slayers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1