Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Мировой финал · BO1
result vs prediction
Аргентинаloss 0:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Непалwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Аргентина
No games played over 6 months.
Непал
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
344 picks · 301 bans
Pangolier
342 picks · 463 bans
Tusk
332 picks · 450 bans
Snapfire
320 picks · 209 bans
Enchantress
314 picks · 572 bans
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 366 bans
Luna
260 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Аргентина
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Аргентина
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Аргентина 55%Непал 45%
The model gave 55% on Аргентина — the game was taken by Непал.
Model check result
Model favoriteАргентина · 55%
Series resultНепал 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1