Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Arkosh Gamingwin 1:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PSPecado Squad Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Arkosh Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Pecado Squad Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
405 picks · 986 bans
Void Spirit
348 picks · 523 bans
Mars
346 picks · 566 bans
Grimstroke
338 picks · 339 bans
Death Prophet
332 picks · 700 bans
Lion
319 picks · 177 bans
Tusk
303 picks · 225 bans
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Arkosh Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Arkosh Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteArkosh Gaming · 70%
Series resultArkosh Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect