Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Arkosh Gamingloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Arkosh Gaming
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Broodmotheroften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Lion
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Wildcard Gaming
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
iAnnihilate · 1 game
Rubick
The Warden · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
325 picks · 465 bans
Bane
275 picks · 210 bans
Snapfire
266 picks · 150 bans
Tidehunter
261 picks · 392 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 703 bans
Weaver
260 picks · 564 bans
Ember Spirit
214 picks · 295 bans
Lion
211 picks · 98 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)15% vs 40%
Hero pool strength59% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Arkosh Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:27
Arkosh Gaming 50%Wildcard Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 21:18.
Game 2prediction missed10:41
Arkosh Gaming 50%Wildcard Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 24:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteArkosh Gaming · 50%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2