OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Army Geniuses
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 14 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 12 games
Mirana
Lym- · 10 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 8 games
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 13 games
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 170 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 123 bans
Lina
265 picks · 455 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 519 bans
Luna
250 picks · 347 bans
Mars
240 picks · 411 bans
Winter Wyvern
236 picks · 244 bans
Dragon Knight
234 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 39%
Hero pool strength61% Execration
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total56% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 56%