BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Army Geniuses
Tiny
NARMAN · 16 games
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 12 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Varizh · 11 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 11 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
Faceless Voidsignature
NARMAN · 8 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 8 games
Marcioften banned
woMy · 7 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
640 picks · 501 bans
Marci
470 picks · 689 bans
Dawnbreaker
417 picks · 580 bans
Puck
409 picks · 860 bans
Winter Wyvern
332 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
295 picks · 477 bans
Zeus
282 picks · 378 bans
Enchantress
267 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:43
Army Geniuses 32%Hokori 68%
The model gave 68% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 40:30.
Game 2prediction correct23:51
Army Geniuses 32%Hokori 68%
The model gave 68% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 50:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 68%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2