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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Purple Paradoxloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 19 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 15 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 10 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
56%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 8 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%

Purple Paradox

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
seimei · 4 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
seimei · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
seimei · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
369 picks · 582 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
325 picks · 568 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
315 picks · 204 bans
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
238 picks · 467 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
237 picks · 330 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
224 picks · 727 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
206 picks · 302 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Purple Paradox
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Purple Paradox
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:10
Army Geniuses 43%Purple Paradox 57%
The model gave 57% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 23:12.
Game 2prediction correct15:34
Army Geniuses 43%Purple Paradox 57%
The model gave 57% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 37:02.
Model check result
Model favoritePurple Paradox · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2