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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TNC Predatorwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tiny
NARMAN · 17 games
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Varizh · 11 games
45%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
woMy · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Azur4 · 9 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 8 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 8 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
NARMAN · 7 games
71%

TNC Predator

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 12 games
58%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 11 games
36%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Bombi · 11 games
82%
Puck
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 11 games
55%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
73%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
651 picks · 517 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
474 picks · 705 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
433 picks · 606 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
424 picks · 886 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
341 picks · 418 bans
54%
Zeus
Zeus
291 picks · 391 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
284 picks · 472 bans
51%
Razor
Razor
273 picks · 488 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% TNC Predator
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total56% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:38
Army Geniuses 55%TNC Predator 45%
The model gave 55% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 40:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddb-
56% · 33 games49% · 45 games
Anti-MageKarma丶
Anti-Mage
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
54% · 48 games46% · 21 game
Primal BeastBok
Primal Beast
Pangolier
PangolierwoMy
49% · 55 games55% · 96 games
Tuskcml
Tusk
Techies
TechiesNARMAN
35% · 8 games
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterVarizh
33% · 18 games
Game 2prediction missed51:45
Army Geniuses 54%TNC Predator 46%
The model gave 54% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 52:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierwoMy
59% · 64 games45% · 111 games
UrsaKarma丶
Ursa
Tiny
TinyinYourdreaM
50% · 143 games55% · 22 games
Primal BeastBok
Primal Beast
Pudge
Pudgedb-
50% · 26 games51% · 182 games
Enchantresscml
Enchantress
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeNARMAN
49% · 56 games
Jakiro
JakiroVarizh
44% · 26 games
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 56%
Series resultTNC Predator 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2