Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Void Spiritoften banned
Dendi · 27 games
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
Linasignature
[T]SA · 23 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 19 games
Bane
Sammyboy · 17 games
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 17 games
Snapfire
Alexxo · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
553 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
465 picks · 564 bans
Mars
449 picks · 634 bans
Weaver
432 picks · 820 bans
Snapfire
363 picks · 179 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 539 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 336 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 18%
Hero pool strength52% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:28
AS Monaco Gambit 54%B8 Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 49:47.
Game 2prediction missed33:7
AS Monaco Gambit 54%B8 Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 27:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 54%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2