Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 4 games
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 4 games
Bane
Fezor · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
468 picks · 279 bans
Mars
402 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
347 picks · 456 bans
Queen of Pain
341 picks · 494 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 532 bans
Kunkka
282 picks · 516 bans
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 371 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 192 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:32
AS Monaco Gambit 63%cybercats 37%
The model gave 63% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by cybercats in 28:40.
Game 2prediction missed36:8
AS Monaco Gambit 63%cybercats 37%
The model gave 63% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by cybercats in 22:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 63%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2