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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AS Monaco Gambit

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
25%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
100%

Team Liquid

Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 11 games
82%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Taiga · 10 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
83%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 6 games
83%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 5 games
60%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
miCKe · 4 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Taiga · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
410 picks · 959 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
384 picks · 580 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
338 picks · 619 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
301 picks · 270 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 600 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
256 picks · 173 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
246 picks · 411 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
243 picks · 340 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 61%
Hero pool strength59% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:31
AS Monaco Gambit 44%Team Liquid 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 40:57.
Game 2prediction correct10:26
AS Monaco Gambit 44%Team Liquid 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 33:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 56%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2