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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AS Monaco Gambit

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
25%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
100%

Vici Gaming

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 7 games
86%
Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 6 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ELeVeN · 5 games
40%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 5 games
20%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 5 games
40%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 5 games
40%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
poyoyo · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
404 picks · 949 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
376 picks · 576 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
333 picks · 612 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
298 picks · 265 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
295 picks · 589 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
255 picks · 173 bans
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
241 picks · 541 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
241 picks · 407 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:38
AS Monaco Gambit 57%Vici Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 46:14.
Game 2prediction missed39:55
AS Monaco Gambit 57%Vici Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:07:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 57%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2