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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
ASAKURAloss 0:2
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 0:2
РАБОТЯГИwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ASAKURA

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 13 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 12 games
83%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
36%
Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
young G · 11 games
55%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 10 games
70%
Lich
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Infernal · 10 games
60%

РАБОТЯГИ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
29%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
spirit · 6 games
50%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
20%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
25%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
544 picks · 766 bans
48%
Muerta
Muerta
442 picks · 328 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
435 picks · 709 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
413 picks · 405 bans
53%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
402 picks · 707 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
394 picks · 894 bans
57%
Magnus
Magnus
390 picks · 1049 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 520 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 29%
Hero pool strength59% ASAKURA
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total80% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
ASAKURA 80%РАБОТЯГИ 20%
The model gave 80% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ.
Game 2prediction missed
ASAKURA 80%РАБОТЯГИ 20%
The model gave 80% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 80%
Series resultРАБОТЯГИ 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2