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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Aster.Ariesloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aster.Aries

Mars
Marsoften banned
生死 · 7 games
43%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
phoenix · 6 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
TK · 5 games
60%
Io
Iooften banned
TK · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
RedPanda · 5 games
40%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RedPanda · 5 games
60%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
phoenix · 4 games
25%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Ulu · 4 games
75%

Dandelion Esport Club

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
447 picks · 295 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
408 picks · 514 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
364 picks · 534 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
356 picks · 499 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
290 picks · 484 bans
52%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
262 picks · 488 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
251 picks · 341 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
248 picks · 104 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Aster.Aries
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:13
Aster.Aries 47%Dandelion Esport Club 53%
The model gave 53% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 25:04.
Game 2prediction correct17:35
Aster.Aries 47%Dandelion Esport Club 53%
The model gave 53% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 40:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 53%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2