Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Atlantisloss 1:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gorillaloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Gorilla
Death Prophetoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Night · 2 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Night · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
Fonte · 1 game
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Disruptor
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Elder Titan
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Night · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
493 picks · 444 bans
Mars
486 picks · 684 bans
Bane
462 picks · 283 bans
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 518 bans
Sand King
412 picks · 566 bans
Storm Spirit
399 picks · 648 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 607 bans
Grimstroke
353 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 29%
Hero pool strength53% Atlantis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:39
Atlantis 64%Gorilla 36%
The model gave 64% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Gorilla in 32:01.
Game 2prediction missed37:51
Atlantis 64%Gorilla 36%
The model gave 64% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Gorilla in 1:01:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 64%
Accuracy by game0 of 2