Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Atlantisloss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LBZSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
LBZS
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
505 picks · 449 bans
Mars
487 picks · 695 bans
Bane
453 picks · 290 bans
Dragon Knight
440 picks · 534 bans
Sand King
392 picks · 547 bans
Storm Spirit
392 picks · 635 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 622 bans
Grimstroke
357 picks · 318 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Atlantis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Atlantis 62%LBZS 38%
The model gave 62% on Atlantis — the game was taken by LBZS.
Game 2prediction missed
Atlantis 62%LBZS 38%
The model gave 62% on Atlantis — the game was taken by LBZS.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 62%
Series resultLBZS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2