Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Atlantiswin 2:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Made in Philippinesloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Made in Philippines
Dragon Knightsignature
Rupido · 6 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ken · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ken · 5 games
Bane
Teehee · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
JG · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Puckoften banned
JG · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
505 picks · 439 bans
Mars
478 picks · 699 bans
Bane
440 picks · 295 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 537 bans
Storm Spirit
380 picks · 605 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 604 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 520 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 758 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 64%
Hero pool strength59% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total68% Made in Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:40
Atlantis 32%Made in Philippines 68%
The model gave 68% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines in 39:39.
Game 2prediction correct32:18
Atlantis 32%Made in Philippines 68%
The model gave 68% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines in 40:22.
Game 3prediction correct34:28
Atlantis 32%Made in Philippines 68%
The model gave 68% on Made in Philippines — the game was taken by Made in Philippines in 48:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteMade in Philippines · 68%
Series resultAtlantis 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3