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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

LGD Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
Pyw · 10 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
Setsu · 9 games
67%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
71%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
y` · 7 games
57%
Weaver
Weaversignature
shiro · 7 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
niu · 6 games
33%
Doom
Doomsignature
niu · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
363 picks · 559 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
321 picks · 250 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
319 picks · 277 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
315 picks · 458 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
280 picks · 447 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 775 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
275 picks · 459 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
273 picks · 664 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 37%
Hero pool strength56% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:26
Aurora Gaming 34%LGD Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 33:28.
Game 2prediction correct10:27
Aurora Gaming 34%LGD Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 42:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 66%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2