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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OG LATAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nightfall · 20 games
45%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nightfall · 19 games
58%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Mira · 19 games
74%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Mira · 18 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Lorenof · 13 games
38%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
69%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Panto · 13 games
62%

OG LATAM

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 483 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
395 picks · 546 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
356 picks · 166 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
275 picks · 534 bans
47%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 511 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
259 picks · 369 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
258 picks · 145 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
257 picks · 148 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:32
Aurora Gaming 52%OG LATAM 48%
The model gave 52% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 40:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNightfall
47% · 332 games47% · 194 games
UrsaK1
Ursa
Dark Seer
Dark SeerTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 237 games54% · 274 games
Sand KingDarkMago
Sand King
Monkey King
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
58% · 177 games47% · 175 games
UnderlordILICH-
Underlord
Tusk
TuskMira
47% · 217 games48% · 202 games
WarlockMoOz
Warlock
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanPanto
54% · 77 games47% · 195 games
RingmasterElmisho
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct27:23
Aurora Gaming 50%OG LATAM 50%
The model gave 50% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 50:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNightfall
51% · 360 games52% · 135 games
SvenK1
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
52% · 220 games47% · 116 games
KunkkaDarkMago
Kunkka
Underlord
UnderlordTORONTOTOKYO
45% · 125 games50% · 188 games
Dark SeerILICH-
Dark Seer
Silencer
SilencerPanto
44% · 160 games49% · 173 games
RingmasterElmisho
Ringmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMira
58% · 96 games53% · 349 games
JakiroMoOz
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2