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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Virtus.proloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Virtus.pro

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Noticed · 16 games
63%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 16 games
81%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
79%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 13 games
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
77%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 12 games
58%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 550 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
312 picks · 234 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
309 picks · 449 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
305 picks · 272 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
274 picks · 427 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 768 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
268 picks · 458 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
266 picks · 648 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 69%
Hero pool strength60% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:19
Aurora Gaming 41%Virtus.pro 59%
The model gave 59% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 44:04.
Game 2prediction correct4:29
Aurora Gaming 41%Virtus.pro 59%
The model gave 59% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 37:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 59%
Accuracy by game2 of 2