DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Xtreme Gaming
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 25 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 20 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 17 games
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 16 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 215 bans
Tiny
438 picks · 636 bans
Batrider
416 picks · 734 bans
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 567 bans
Gyrocopter
394 picks · 350 bans
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 766 bans
Mars
335 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 56%
Hero pool strength62% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total86% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:29
Aurora Gaming 14%Xtreme Gaming 86%
The model gave 86% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 49:56.
Game 2prediction correct29:16
Aurora Gaming 14%Xtreme Gaming 86%
The model gave 86% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 32:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 86%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2