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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
IHC Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Chalice · 10 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 10 games
90%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 9 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
fy · 8 games
88%
Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 8 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 7 games
71%

IHC Esports

Puck
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 5 games
80%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Se · 5 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
eleven · 4 games
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ace12 · 4 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
423 · 4 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
Se · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
257 picks · 436 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
233 picks · 363 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
218 picks · 286 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
210 picks · 196 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
209 picks · 99 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
186 picks · 517 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 64%
Hero pool strength57% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:29
Azure Ray 68%IHC Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 38:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordlou
56% · 41 game51% · 157 games
Naga Siren423
Naga Siren
Pangolier
PangolierOri
54% · 182 games54% · 90 games
Bounty HunterSancity
Bounty Hunter
Magnus
MagnusFaith_bian
51% · 97 games42% · 115 games
Centaur Warrunnereleven
Centaur Warrunner
Rubick
Rubickfy
41% · 244 games51% · 101 game
Vengeful SpiritSe
Vengeful Spirit
Marci
Marci天命
52% · 48 games50% · 149 games
Dark Willowace12
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct44:47
Azure Ray 71%IHC Esports 29%
The model gave 71% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:03:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerlou
46% · 79 games51% · 63 games
Alchemist423
Alchemist
Lina
LinaOri
49% · 113 games47% · 84 games
Marseleven
Mars
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFaith_bian
54% · 75 games52% · 138 games
Templar AssassinSancity
Templar Assassin
Techies
Techiesfy
49% · 237 games54% · 205 games
BatriderSe
Batrider
Lion
Lion天命
48% · 93 games51% · 107 games
Dark Willowace12
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct16:9
Azure Ray 69%IHC Esports 31%
The model gave 69% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 42:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunalou
49% · 83 games49% · 100 games
Naga Siren423
Naga Siren
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightOri
49% · 133 games48% · 112 games
Timbersaweleven
Timbersaw
Abaddon
AbaddonFaith_bian
51% · 47 games54% · 84 games
Vengeful SpiritSancity
Vengeful Spirit
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
45% · 159 games55% · 106 games
Dark Willowace12
Dark Willow
Lion
Lionfy
51% · 110 games51% · 130 games
SilencerSe
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 83%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3