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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Luna
lou · 24 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 23 games
61%
Lion
Lion
fy · 21 game
57%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 21 game
76%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Ori · 20 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
fy · 20 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 19 games
68%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
fy · 17 games
53%

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kaori · 20 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 15 games
47%
Lion
Lionsignature
OmaR · 14 games
64%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 13 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Malik · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 13 games
46%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 13 games
38%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 787 bans
56%
Batrider
Batrider
462 picks · 960 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
454 picks · 351 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 600 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 718 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
448 picks · 196 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
436 picks · 206 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
422 picks · 710 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total69% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:15
Azure Ray 58%PSG Quest 42%
The model gave 58% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 39:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzlou
63% · 54 games43% · 71 game
LinaNo!ob
Lina
Razor
RazorFaith_bian
50% · 147 games52% · 141 game
MorphlingTA2000
Morphling
Slardar
SlardarOri
48% · 40 games46% · 147 games
BeastmasterMalik
Beastmaster
Tiny
Tinyfy
50% · 279 games50% · 299 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Disruptor
Disruptor天命
47% · 325 games53% · 187 games
Crystal MaidenDukalis
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct41:25
Azure Ray 60%PSG Quest 40%
The model gave 60% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 49:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackFaith_bian
48% · 29 games50% · 143 games
AlchemistTA2000
Alchemist
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidlou
52% · 249 games46% · 168 games
KunkkaMalik
Kunkka
Pangolier
PangolierOri
50% · 392 games50% · 249 games
Primal BeastNo!ob
Primal Beast
Clinkz
Clinkzfy
56% · 35 games46% · 307 games
BatriderOmaR
Batrider
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden天命
55% · 305 games47% · 143 games
GyrocopterDukalis
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 69%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2