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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spiky Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
fy · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 17 games
59%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 16 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
fy · 15 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 14 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
lou · 14 games
71%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 14 games
36%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Ori · 13 games
54%

Spiky Gaming

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Manic · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Hara · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Hara · 5 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Manic · 3 games
67%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Manic · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TK · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
362 picks · 404 bans
54%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
332 picks · 521 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
290 picks · 494 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 345 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
279 picks · 596 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:4
Azure Ray 83%Spiky Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 28:44.
Game 2prediction correct17:5
Azure Ray 83%Spiky Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 18:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 83%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2